Name: Free Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Race 4 May 03, 2025 | Betting News
Start: 2025-05-03
End: 2025-05-03
Location: Churchill Downs

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Saturday May 03, 2025

Race Number 4 at Churchill Downs is a Stake featuring 3+ year old Horse & Gelding & Colts on a Dirt track at a distance of 1M. The purse for this race is $200000.

Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Win % / Place % / Show %

Ashcroft

Osbourne

Accretive

Castle Chaos

Kupuna

Best Actor

Chiron

Liberal Arts

Inveigled

Patriot Spirit

New King

Quality Chic

Classic View

Distance / Surface Record

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Career	Last Start	2nd Last	3rd Last	Style
1 A Ashcroft J: Juarez Nik T: Lukas D Wayne		20/1	H 118lbs $518000	16 4-6-6 w%: 25% s%: 38%	5 / 11 7.0F Dirt KEE	5 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt SA	5 / 8 1 1/16M Dirt SA	Fast Leads
2 X Osbourne J: Prat Flavien T: Moquett Ron		15/1	G 118lbs $1121810	23 4-10-14 w%: 17% s%: 61%	3 / 4 6.0F Dirt OP	5 / 6 6.0F Dirt OP	2 / 6 6.0F Dirt OP	Slower Leads
3 X Accretive J: Ortiz Jose L T: Sharp Joe	13 28 43	6/1	G 123lbs $743400	19 4-11-12 w%: 21% s%: 63%	1 / 10 1M Dirt EVD	4 / 8 1M Turf FG	2 / 4 1 1/16M Dirt FG	Mid Pack Stalker
4 X Castle Chaos J: Rispoli Umberto T: Falcone Jr Robert		20/1	G 118lbs $1104615	21 3-9-14 w%: 14% s%: 67%	2 / 7 1M Dirt AQU	5 / 6 7.0F Dirt AQU	7 / 7 1M Dirt SAR	Mid Pack Stalker
6 B Kupuna J: Hernandez Jr Bria T: Calhoun W Bret		5/1	G 120lbs $800770	22 6-13-14 w%: 27% s%: 64%	2 / 10 1M Dirt EVD	1 / 8 6.0F Dirt	1 / 8 6.0F Dirt	Fast Stalker
7 C Best Actor J: Garcia Martin T: Moger Jr Ed		15/1	H 118lbs $944200	13 5-8-9 w%: 38% s%: 69%	9 / 11 7.0F Dirt KEE	5 / 10 1M Dirt CD	5 / 9 1 1/8M Dirt FG	Slowest Deep
8 X Chiron J: Doyle Sophie T: Estvanko Richard		30/1	G 123lbs $445420	32 4-8-12 w%: 12% s%: 38%	10 / 11 1 1/8M Weather TP	1 / 10 1 1/16M Weather TP	1 / 11 1M Weather TP	Mid Pack Stalker
9 B Liberal Arts J: Saez Luis T: Cox Brad H	26 51 76	3/1	C 118lbs $540700	12 4-5-9 w%: 33% s%: 75%	4 / 9 1 1/16M Dirt OP	3 / 9 1M Dirt OP	1 / 6 1 1/16M Dirt FG	Fastest Stalker
11 X Inveigled J: Curtis Ben T: Cibelli Jane	10 22 36	10/1	G 118lbs $850239	17 4-9-12 w%: 24% s%: 71%	2 / 8 7.0F Dirt GP	1 / 8 1M Dirt GP	10 / 11 1 1/16M Turf GP	Slower Leads
12 B Patriot Spirit J: Alvarado Junior T: Campbell Michael	10 22 36	8/1	C 120lbs $761000	12 4-5-6 w%: 33% s%: 50%	4 / 6 1 1/8M Dirt OP	2 / 9 1M Dirt OP	5 / 9 1M Dirt GP	Mid Pack Leader
13 B New King J: Ortiz Jr Irad T: Russell Brittany	13 28 43	12/1	C 118lbs $302100	13 3-5-7 w%: 23% s%: 54%	2 / 6 7.0F Dirt LRL	2 / 6 7.0F Dirt LRL	7 / 8 1 1/4M Dirt SA	Mid Pack Leads
14 X Quality Chic J: Gutierrez Mario T: Cook Jason G		20/1	G 118lbs $1029224	29 4-10-12 w%: 14% s%: 41%	9 / 9 1 1/16M Dirt OP	2 / 8 1 1/8M Dirt OP	3 / 10 1M Dirt CD	Mid Pack Stalker

Name	Win % / Place % / Show % Predictions	M/L	Info	Jockey	Trainer	Style
1 Ashcroft 2 / 100% / 100%		19/1	H 118lbs $518000	Juarez Nik 38 / 13% / 47%	Lukas D Wayne 30 / 10% / 30%	Fast Leads
2 Osbourne 2 / 50% / 50%		14/1	G 118lbs $1121810	Prat Flavien 118 / 31% / 64%	Moquett Ron 50 / 22% / 50%	Slower Leads
3 Accretive 6 / 33% / 67%	13 28 43	5/1	G 123lbs $743400	Ortiz Jose L 100 / 19% / 54%	Sharp Joe 37 / 22% / 49%	Mid Pack Stalker
4 Castle Chaos 8 / 12% / 62%		19/1	G 118lbs $1104615	Rispoli Umberto 41 / 12% / 61%	Falcone Jr Robert N 21 / 14% / 43%	Mid Pack Stalker
6 Kupuna 7 / 14% / 71%		4/1	G 120lbs $800770	Hernandez Jr Brian J 0 / 0% / 0%	Calhoun W Bret 99 / 29% / 62%	Fast Stalker
7 Best Actor 4 / 50% / 50%		14/1	H 118lbs $944200	Garcia Martin 35 / 17% / 46%	Moger Jr Ed 0 / 0% / 0%	Slowest Deep
8 Chiron 7 / 14% / 71%		29/1	G 123lbs $445420	Doyle Sophie 8 / 0% / 38%	Estvanko Richard 23 / 22% / 70%	Mid Pack Stalker
9 Liberal Arts 2 / 0% / 100%	26 51 76	2/1	C 118lbs $540700	Saez Luis 115 / 15% / 52%	Cox Brad H 138 / 32% / 64%	Fastest Stalker
11 Inveigled 3 / 67% / 67%	10 22 36	9/1	G 118lbs $850239	Curtis Ben 36 / 22% / 56%	Cibelli Jane 9 / 22% / 78%	Slower Leads
12 Patriot Spirit 2 / 0% / 50%	10 22 36	7/1	C 120lbs $761000	Alvarado Junior 69 / 14% / 41%	Campbell Michael B 2 / 0% / 100%	Mid Pack Leader
13 New King 3 / 33% / 67%	13 28 43	11/1	C 118lbs $302100	Ortiz Jr Irad 137 / 21% / 61%	Russell Brittany T 69 / 26% / 62%	Mid Pack Leads
14 Quality Chic 6 / 17% / 67%		19/1	G 118lbs $1029224	Gutierrez Mario 28 / 14% / 43%	Cook Jason G 7 / 14% / 29%	Mid Pack Stalker

5/5 Review Rating

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Trifecta Pick*

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*Please note exacta, trifacta and superfecta picks are optimized for profit, not win %. Therefore, horses listed between pick types can vary.

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 468

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Figure Comparison

Winning Profiles

Superfecta Pick*

Exacta Pick*

Win Pick

Trifecta Pick*

Race Bias AnalysisNumber of Races: 468

Race Bias Analysis
Number of Races: 468